Risk Reduction (english version)

Data from INSA (Red Lines Report). October 2021!

The October INSA Red Lines report (link here ) states that the risk of death is 1.5 to 4 times lower in vaccinates.

But is it really like that? We checked the numbers and disagree.

The "4" appears in the group from 60 to 69, which only had 10 deaths. That’s a very small sample to draw conclusions. Another 1 or 2 deaths for each side, and the values would ​​chang significantly. Imagine that 1 or 2 vaccinated people who were hospitalized died on November 1st. The “0.3” on the graph could soon change to a value from “0.4” to “0.6” and the “4” would change to “3” or even “2”. And the same can happen with the unvaccinated. The sample is too small so the margin of error is very large.

So we focused on the groups “70-79” and “+ 80”. The values ​​are 2.28 and 1.36, respectively. And, as you can see from the table bellow, we have a larger sample that gives us some security. This is where we should focus because these are the two groups where mortality is most significant.

With the data we have, we can conclude that the effectiveness of vaccines in preventing death in the highest risk groups, in October, was between 26% (80+) and 56% (70 to 79). And that’s very low.

Now that it is accepted by everyone that vaccines do not prevent disease or transmission. It has already been proved that the effectiveness (to prevent disease) is far below the promised 95%. We've already seen that they don't give us heard immunity. Now, we also realize that its effectiveness in preventing death is far from the “almost 100%” that so many claim! Specially for older people.